Autocovariance and Linear Transformations of Markov Switching VARMA Processes

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24425/cejeme.2014.119243

Keywords:

time series, multivariate ARMA, state-space models, Markov chains, changes in regime, autocovariance, linear representations

Abstract

We study the autocovariance structure of a general Markov switching
second-order stationary VARMA model. Then we give stable finite
order VARMA(p∗, q∗) representations for those M-state Markov switching
VARMA(p, q) processes where the observables are uncorrelated with the regime
variables. This allows us to obtain sharper bounds for p
∗and q∗ with respect to the ones existing in literature. Our results provide new insights into stochastic
properties and facilitate statistical inference about the orders of MS-VARMA
models and the underlying number of hidden states.

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Published

2014-11-22

How to Cite

Cavicchioli, M. (2014). Autocovariance and Linear Transformations of Markov Switching VARMA Processes. Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, 6(4), 275–289. https://doi.org/10.24425/cejeme.2014.119243

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